Mark Bray, Monday, 12-17-12 December 18, 2012Posted by The Space Show in Uncategorized.
Tags: " SpaceX, "Crossing the Chasm, commercial space, commercial space government subsidy, commercial space markets., commercial space products, cubesats, domestic economics, early adopters, Falcon 9. , fiscal cliff, Geoffrey Moore, global economics, high technology, innovation, ISS, Mark Bray, NASA science missions, space investments, space regulatory issues, space tourism, space visionaries., suborbital space vehicles, sustainable commercial space business
add a comment
Mark Bray, Monday, 12-17-12
Guest: Mark Bray. Topics: Commercial space market development. Please direct all comments and questions regarding Space Show programs/guest(s) to the Space Show blog, https://thespaceshow.wordpress.com. Comments and questions should be relevant to the specific Space Show program. Written Transcripts of Space Show programs are a violation of our copyright and are not permitted without prior written consent, even if for your own use. We do not permit the commercial use of Space Show programs or any part thereof, nor do we permit editing, YouTube clips, or clips placed on other private channels & websites. Space Show programs can be quoted, but the quote must be cited or referenced using the proper citation format. Contact The Space Show for further information. We welcomed back Mark Bray to discuss the development of a commercial space market, the applications of Geoffrey Moore’s “Crossing The Chasm” theories, space policy and the challenges of transitioning the aerospace industry to a full commercial space industry. Our first segment began with Mark explaining how he sees commercial space development in the context of the Geoffrey Moore book, “Crossing The Chasm.” The main idea expressed in the book and by our guest focuses on businesses that are able to leap from the very early adopter period of a product to the broader based product acceptance in the consumer markets. Mark’s quick summary suggested we were not yet there with our developing commercial space industry. He talked about the existing commercial space segment, the idea that we cater to our own community rather than finding a need in the broader consumer markets, then supplying that need through commercial space development. Until that happens, commercial space remain hindered. He also suggested that that space tourism would not be the business that crosses the chasm as he did not see it as being sustainable. We talked about the ISS and its potential uses, NASA science missions, and the need to transition to an actual commercial industry which he does not believe exists today. His focus during this discussion was market driven saying the lack of sustainable broad based commercial space market today is a problem. As the segment was ending, Doug emailed in to inquire about Dragon Lab and the possibility of NASA taking on more characteristics of the old NACA were in line with his perspective commercial space, markets, and broadening the consumer user base. Mark had interesting comments about both and as we were going to break, suggested that the issues he was talking about dealt with how we get from where we are today to where we need to be to have a viable commercial space industry.
In our second segment, Todd emailed in questions about the impact of the U.S. and global economy on commercial space development. Later, Mark was asked what it would take to have a profitable commercial space industry. We talked about government subsidies in space, the Falcon 9, SpaceX, and ULA with the Atlas and Delta vehicles. Mark then addressed the issue of needing to know the real costs involved for a product or a launch vehicle saying there should be at least 5-7 successful missions before the costs can be classified as known and understood. Mark also addressed the difficulty with human spaceflight (HSF) and commercial space, then moved on to the boom in the cubesat sector which might actually end up being a product that does cross the chasm. Michael commented about mission insurance and Mark suggested that because of liability and insurance issues, we would not have a totally pure commercial space industry. A listener asked him about the NewSpace industry and Mark talked about this in the context of NASA and industry innovation and early adopters. Near the end of the program, Mark assessed the suborbital industry which is commercial but questioned the sustainability of the suborbital tourist market. As the program was ending, I asked Mark for a Huntsville space status report. He said things were stabilizing and it appears that worst of the layoffs and setbacks are now a thing of the past. Fiscal cliff worries exist but the situation was not getting worse. He said many were expecting new and larger projects within 2-4 years.
Please post your comments/questions on The Space Show blog. You can email Mark Bray through me.
Dr. Pat Hynes, Monday, 8-27-12 August 28, 2012Posted by The Space Show in Uncategorized.
Tags: Commercial Crew, commercial space customers, commercial space markets., Dr. Pat Hynes, International Symposium for Personal and Commercial Spaceflight, public/private partnerships, science & technology space conferences, space commerce, space tourism
add a comment
Dr. Pat Hynes, Monday, 8-27-12
Guest: Dr. Pat Hynes. Topics: International symposium for Personal & Commercial Spaceflight (www.ispcs.com). You are invited to comment, ask questions, and discuss the Space Show program/guest(s) on the Space Show blog, https://thespaceshow.wordpress.com. Comments, questions, and any discussion must be relevant and applicable to Space Show programming. Transcripts of Space Show programs are not permitted without prior written consent from The Space Show (even if for personal use) & are a violation of the Space Show copyright. We welcomed Dr. Pat Hynes to the program to discuss the ISPCS 2012 Symposium from Oct. 17-18, 2012 in Las Cruces, New Mexico. I suggest you open the Symposium website and follow along with our discussion. Also, as we talked about the Symposium, the agenda, goals and objectives, specific speakers, events, meals, etc, during both segments, this archive review will not be in segments as our topics were overlapping. Dr. Hynes started us out talking about commercial markets and customers for the evolving and developing commercial space industry, a theme throughout our program and the Symposium. In fact, the official conference theme is “The Demand. The Direction.” Dr. Hynes took us through the agenda, day by day, but added details about the speakers not readily available by looking at the website. Do follow along with our discussion. We also talked conference logistics, hotels, travel, registration, and of course meals from breakfast through to dinner. Dr. Hynes stressed the business approach of this conference and in fact, I highlighted this near the end of our discussion given Pat’s academic credentials are the PhD in Business Administration which affords her a unique commercial, financial, market, and business perspective for addressing space industry growth, development and issues.
Please post your comments/questions on our blog. If you want more information on the Symposium, use www.ispcs.com/contact_us.php or email@example.com. Dr. Hynes provided her email address on air should you want to contact her. Finally, I plan on attending the Symposium this year. If you go, make sure you fine me and let’s talk, visit, etc.
Tags: : John Batchelor, Commercial Crew Program, commercial space, commercial space markets., Cots, Dr. Scott Pace, Dragon, Falcon 9. , Global Space Exploration Conference, ISS, NASA, Space X, The John Batchelor Show "Hotel Mars
1 comment so far
The John Batchelor Show “Hotel Mars,” Wednesday, 5-23-12
Guests: John Batchelor, Dr. Scott Pace, Dr. David Livingston. Topics: Falcon 9 launch, Dragon & the ISS, commercial space. You are invited to comment, ask questions, and discuss the Space Show program/guest(s) on the Space Show blog, https://thespaceshow.wordpress.com. Comments, questions, and any discussion must be relevant and applicable to Space Show programming. Written transcripts of Space Show programs are not permitted without prior written consent from The Space Show (even if for personal use) & are a violation of the Space Show copyright. This program is archived on The Space Show website, podcasting, and blog sites with permission from John Batchelor. Please visit the John Batchelor Show website for more information about this fine program, www.johnbatchelorshow.com. During our 11.5 minute segment, Dr. Scott Pace talked about the COTS program, the Falcon 9 launch and the expected Dragon Capsule rendezvous and birthing with the ISS. We spoke about COTS expectations, the challenges still ahead for the COTS participants, commercial crew questions, and price points for Dragon which may give it a huge advantage over competition from the European and Japanese ISS cargo resupply programs and vehicles. As our segment was about end, Dr. Pace talked about limited markets at this time but that the program was designed to help expand markets and opportunities beyond those of government. Please post your comments/questions on The Space Show blog.
If you want to email John Batchelor or Dr. Pace, you can do so through me at firstname.lastname@example.org. Please post your comments/questions on The Space Show blog. Dr. Pace will be The Space Show guest for Sunday, May 27, 2012.