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The John Batchelor Show Hotel Mars, Wednesday, 8-12-15 August 13, 2015

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The John Batchelor Show Hotel Mars, Wednesday, 8-12-15

Special Guest:  Doug Messier

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John Batchelor, Doug Messier, Dr. David Livingston, Parabolicarc.com, Virgin Galactic, Scale Composites, SpaceShip2, White Knight2, NTSB, FAA AST oversight, Sir Richard Branson, suborbital safety, human factors, Virgin Galactic accident.

 

Guests: John Batchelor, Doug Messier, Dr. David Livingston. Topics: NTSB Virgin Galactic accident report analysis. You are invited to comment, ask questions, and discuss the Space Show program/guest(s) on the Space Show blog. Comments, questions, and any discussion must be relevant and applicable to Space Show programming. Written Transcripts of Space Show programs are not permitted without prior written consent from The Space Show (even if for personal use) & are a violation of the Space Show copyright. We do not permit the commercial use of any Space Show program or part thereof, nor do we permit Space Show programs to be edited, placed on YouTube, or other private channels & websites. Space Show programs can be quoted in news articles, papers, academic & research work but must be cited or referenced in the proper citation format. Contact Dr. Livingston for questions about our copyright and trademark policies which we do enforce. This program is archived on The Space Show website, podcasting, and blog sites with permission from John Batchelor. Please visit the John Batchelor Show website for more information about this fine program, www.johnbatchelorshow.com. Remember, your Amazon Purchases Can Help Support The Space Show/OGLF (www.onegiantleapfoundation.org/amazon.htm). For those of you listening to archives on live365.com & rating the programs, please email me the reasons for your rating. This will definitely help improve Space Show programming. Thank you.

 

John Batchelor and I welcomed back Doug Messier of Parabolicarc.com to discuss the NTSB Virgin Galactic accident investigation report. Doug summarized the report for us, addressed key findings mostly directed at Scaled Composites regarding the failure to anticipate pilot and human failure. He also explained the feather mechanism, how its early deployment caused SpaceShip2 to breakup and what the remedy is going to be for SpaceShip2 going forward. John asked Doug about ongoing safety issues with Virgin Galactic, we talked about planned timelines for the renewal of test flights leading to commercial flights, and that many still have doubts regarding the Virgin Galactic operation. Doug was also asked about reports that there was pressure from Branson on AST for experimental permits and cutting oversight corners which many claim allowed an unsafe spaceship to fly.

 

You can email Mr. Batchelor or Doug Messier through me at drspace@thespaceshow.com. Doug can also be reached through his excellent news blog, www.parabolicarc.com.

 

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Dr. Chris Impey, Friday, 4-17-15 April 18, 2015

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Dr. Chris Impey, Friday, 4-17-15

http://archived.thespaceshow.com/shows/2455-BWB-2015-04-17.mp3

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Guest:  Dr. Chris Impey.  Topics:  “Beyond: Our Future In Space” plus many space policy issues and our future in space.  Please direct all comments and questions regarding Space Show programs/guest(s) to the Space Show blog, https://thespaceshow.wordpress.com.  Comments and questions should be relevant to the specific Space Show program. Written Transcripts of Space Show programs are a violation of our copyright and are not permitted without prior written consent, even if for your own use. We do not permit the commercial use of Space Show programs or any part thereof, nor do we permit editing, YouTube clips, or clips placed on other private channels & websites. Space Show programs can be quoted, but the quote must be cited or referenced using the proper citation format. Contact The Space Show for further information. In addition, please remember that your Amazon purchases can help support The Space Show/OGLF. See www.onegiantleapfoundation.org/amazon.htm.  For those listening to archives using live365.com and rating the programs, please email me as to why you assign a specific rating to the show. This will help me bring better programming to the audience.

 

We welcomed back Dr. Chris Impey to the program for this 63 minute program discussing his latest book “Beyond: Our Future In Space” and related policy, economic, and technical space questions.  Visit his website, www.chrisimpey.com for more information.  Please remember if you buy his book through TSS/OGLF Amazon portal, Amazon will donate a percentage of the sales price to The Space Show.  Instructions are on the website and all archived show summaries.  We began our discussion with Dr. Impey providing us with the background to his latest book in that many people believe that our space program is in the doldrums, that NASA is beset with many problems and for some, they wonder why even bother with space.  Dr. Impey wanted to show the audience that this was not the case so he wrote his latest book to show the benefits of space development and why we must have a future in space.  The book mostly focuses on the human spaceflight potential but we discussed science missions and a space program that would be much broader than just human spaceflight.  He also said the new industry was ready to go viral but had not done so yet.  He suggested some dramatic events might be the turning point in changing the momentum so don’t miss what he had to say about this.  We talked about NASA and NewSpace and he said it was no longer either or and that NASA was now partnering with NewSpace companies and the private sector.  Dr. Impey highlighted the growth in the cubesat industry as an example of things changing.  We talked about international space missions and he mentioned both Russia and China.  With regards to China, ITAR was discussed as was the potential militarization of space.  A listener asked our guest about an economic model and he said that was still troubling.  He thought mining asteroids would not be viable if at all for a very long time.  Listen to his explanation behind this conclusion.  On the other hand, he thought space tourism was shaping up to have a robust market and was optimistic that the companies would soon be flying.  I asked him for his five year timeline for big events.  He listed operations with SpaceShip2 and Virgin and that SpaceX will commercialize reusability.  He also expected to see fleets of commercially operating nano and microsats.  Next,, he said the Moon or Mars was harder with people and that would take place over the next 10-15 years.  He suggested China would visit the Moon with taikonauts in about a 15 year time frame.  He said the Moon would happen when we have a new generation of talent and innovative people pushing it at the ground floor level.  Listener Larry asked him about the regulatory risk.  He thought it would be relatively stable as it is now.  BJohn asked him about planetary science, astrobiology, geology, and biology along with the Big Bang Theory.  Next, we discussed astronomy, including Earth astronomy but also exoplanets and the habitable zone.  A listener asked him about finding life on Mars, either past or present and how that might impact the public with supporting space.  Chris had very interesting comments about this so don’t miss them.  Another listener asked him for his preference in destinations, the Moon or Mars.  He said the Moon.  Listen for the why.  Space settlement was discussed, more on the NASA budget and a question came up about the use of nuclear propulsion.  Near the end of the show he was asked about efforts in pursuing Faster Than Light Travel (FTL) and warp drive.  He was not optimistic in this area.  As the program was ending, I asked our guest how university teaching had changed over the course of his career.  This led us to talking about student loans and university funding from the state and federal government.

 

Please post your comments on TSS blog above. You can reach Dr. Impey through me or his blog.

Jim Muncy, Monday, 11-17-14 November 18, 2014

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Jim Muncy, Monday, 11-17-14

http://archived.thespaceshow.com/shows/2358-BWB-2014-11-17.mp3

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Guest:  Jim Muncy.  Topics:  Virgin Galactic, Antares, space policy, lunar programs, midterm elections & much more.  Please direct all comments and questions regarding Space Show programs/guest(s) to the Space Show blog, https://thespaceshow.wordpress.com.  Comments and questions should be relevant to the specific Space Show program. Written Transcripts of Space Show programs are a violation of our copyright and are not permitted without prior written consent, even if for your own use. We do not permit the commercial use of Space Show programs or any part thereof, nor do we permit editing, YouTube clips, or clips placed on other private channels & websites. Space Show programs can be quoted, but the quote must be cited or referenced using the proper citation format. Contact The Space Show for further information. In addition, please remember that your Amazon purchases can help support The Space Show/OGLF. See http://www.onegiantleapfoundation.org/amazon.htm.  For those listening to archives using live365.com and rating the programs, please email me as to why you assign a specific rating to the show. This will help me bring better programming to the audience.

We welcomed Jim Muncy back to the show to discuss the recent Virgin Galactic accident, Antares, commercial space, regulations & more.  During the first segment of our 100 minute program, Jim started off by discussing the Virgin Galactic accident and possible new regulations for the industry or vehicle specific to Virgin.  Jim explained the Commercial Space Launch Amendments Act of 2004 in terms of the regulatory regime which already exists and what might come about once the NTSB issues its final accident report.  This is an excellent discussion as well as clarification of the existing and potential regulatory environment so don’t miss it.  Space attorney Michael Listner emailed & called in to support what Jim was talking about regarding regulatory regime for commercial space with the AST.  Doug Messier sent in an email addressing the issue of there being a difference between having an incentive to fly safely and being able to operate safely with regards to Virgin as our conversation had turned to flight safety for the new spaceplanes.  Regarding flight safety, Jim made the point that safety was ongoing and a continued learning lesson, even after the vehicle was in commercial service. I agreed & pointed to commercial aviation accidents that have happened after thousands of flight hours as some defect shows up that late into commercial operations.  Jim seized the opportunity to talk about the choice of wording regarding space tourism and said it was not a good choice of words.  Listen to what he had to say about this.  We talked about negative press after the accident and here Jim stressed that the spaceflight in question was not taxpayer supported and was between private individuals and companies.  It was not the business of journalists or others.  Cost plus contracting came up with a listener question as did several established Republican senators and the role they might play regarding commercial space in the new congress.  Jim had made several earlier comments about the British press negative articles on Virgin and the industry.  I asked him why that was so and said it was largely Richard Branson driven given he is and has been such a controversial person in the UK.

In the second segment, we talked about some emerging commercial lunar opportunities that Jim has worked on for awhile.  He provided the background to the current situation including fights over SLS, Orion, & other big ticket NASA programs.  This is a very interesting discussion because it shows how one can find areas to agree on and work together and even get funded if the amounts are not too large.  I urge you to pay close attention to this part of our discussion.  As you will hear, the end result is the development of commercial lunar programs such as the NASA Lunar CATALYST Program.  Dr. Doug called from S. California to ask questions about CATALYST, public/private partnerships, & the ULA-Masten lunar lander work.  Listeners also wanted to know if  a ULA second stage would ever fly on a SpaceX Falcon Heavy such as the ULA concept ACES (Advanced Common Evolved Stage).  We talked about the Orbital Sciences plan to fly their cargo on another rocket while they sort their engine problems out and a listener asked Jim if he thought the Falcon Heavy would have a significant and positive impact on the dialog supporting the American space industry.  Near the end of the program, Christine in Chicago asked Jim if he was as excited today about commercial space as he was when he started out 35 years ago.  Do not miss Jim’s most reflective and thoughtful response to this question.  Jerry from Florida got in one more question by asking about Space Florida and a spaceport that could operate outside the realm of the Air Force range rules.  Jim had much to say on this as well as there is a definite need for modern range rules for commercial spaceflight.  As the program drew to a close, Benny in Dallas asked about the space interest of Senator Cruz and Becky asked what was going on with California aerospace and politics.  In his concluding comments, Jim hoped the commercial industry would soon be back on track, that 2015 would be a good and safe year for space.  We look forward to talking to him again on TSS.

Please post your comments/questions on TSS blog above.  You can reach Jim Muncy through me at drspace@thespaceshow.com.

The John Batchelor Show Hotel Mars, Wednesday, 2-26-14 February 27, 2014

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The John Batchelor Show Hotel Mars, Wednesday, 2-26-14

http://archived.thespaceshow.com/shows/2200-BWB-2014-02-26.mp3

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Guests: John Batchelor, Doug Messier, Dr. David Livingston.  Topics: Virgin Galactic, hybrid engines, space tourism.  You are invited to comment, ask questions, and discuss the Space Show program/guest(s) on the Space Show blog, https://thespaceshow.wordpress.com. Comments, questions, and any discussion must be relevant and applicable to Space Show programming. Written Transcripts of Space Show programs are not permitted without prior written consent from The Space Show (even if for personal use) & are a violation of the Space Show copyright. We do not permit the commercial use of any Space Show program or part thereof, nor do we permit Space Show programs to be edited, placed on YouTube, or other private channels & websites. Space Show programs can be quoted in news articles, papers, academic & research work but must be cited or referenced in the proper citation format. Contact Dr. Livingston for questions about our copyright and trademark policies which we do enforce.  This program is archived on The Space Show website, podcasting, and blog sites with permission from John Batchelor. Please visit the John Batchelor Show website for more information about this fine program, www.johnbatchelorshow.com.  Remember, your Amazon Purchases Can Help Support The Space Show/OGLF (www.onegiantleapfoundation.org/amazon.htm).  For those of you listening to archives on live365.com & rating the programs, please email me the reasons for your rating.  This will definitely help improve Space Show programming. Thank you.

We welcomed Doug Messier of www.parabolicarc.com to the program to discuss Virgin Galactic and its hybrid engine problems.  Doug follows this issue closely and had much to say about their engine, testing program, powered flight tests, possible engine replacements and more.  He also talked about the role of Sir Richard Branson with Virgin and the possible commercial flight schedule for the company.

Please post any comments/questions you might have on The Space Show blog.  You can contact any of  us through drspace@thespaceshow.com.

 

 

Dr. Paul Spudis, Sunday, 1-26-14 January 27, 2014

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Dr. Paul Spudis, Sunday, 1-26-14

http://archived.thespaceshow.com/shows/2173-BWB-2014-01-26.mp3

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Guest:  Dr. Paul Spudis.    Topics: Space policy, cislunar development, The Moon, Clementine & more.  Please direct all comments and questions regarding Space Show programs/guest(s) to the Space Show blog, https://thespaceshow.wordpress.com.  Comments and questions should be relevant to the specific Space Show program. Written Transcripts of Space Show programs are a violation of our copyright and are not permitted without prior written consent, even if for your own use. We do not permit the commercial use of Space Show programs or any part thereof, nor do we permit editing, YouTube clips, or clips placed on other private channels & websites. Space Show programs can be quoted, but the quote must be cited or referenced using the proper citation format. Contact The Space Show for further information. In addition, please remember that your Amazon purchases can help support The Space Show/OGLF. See www.onegiantleapfoundation.org/amazon.htm.

We welcomed Dr. Spudis back to the show for this 1 hour 54 minute wide ranging discussion on space policy, lunar activities, the Chinese space program, SLS, weapons in space, military space, and more.  In our first segment, Dr. Spudis started with a report on the Chinese lunar lander/rover and said that he was hearing there were problems with it.  Since the Chinese program is not transparent, he said it was hard to get details but even if the mission ended early, it met its goals of a soft landing on the Moon.  He had more to say about the lander, the accomplishments of the Chinese program and some of the real progress by the Chinese, especially from their next to last mission.  Dr. Spudis fielded many email questions and took calls.  Our guest then started talking about the Clementine mission given its been 20 years since this very successful program.  You can read his articles about Clementine on his website (spudislunarresources.com and also his blog, http://blogs.airspacemag.com/moon.  He also talked about LCROSS and other recent missions.  Just before the end of the first segment, Marshall phoned in to talk about taxing lunar entrepreneurial ventures. We also talked benefit sharing, global taxation, and commercial incentives.  We closed the segment with Paul talking about the economic and wealth creating potential afforded us all by cislunar development.

In the second segment, he responded to an email question about the Earth-Mars space system having a higher commercial value than cislunar.  Paul explained in some detail why that was not so & why cislunar is far greater in economic value and wealth potential.  Paul then talked about Hugh Dryden & his accomplishments, then renaming the Dryden NASA facility after Neil Armstrong.  Our next subject was American Exceptionalism with Paul blogged about last year.  We then talked about space tourism.  Paul said he was skeptical about it but we just wait and see. I mentioned a new book about Sir Richard Branson & problems with Virgin Galactic by British author Tom Bower.  Here is an article that describes what we talked about:  www.newspacejournal.com/2014/01/26/new-branson-bio-examines-delays-and-other-problems-with-virgin-galactic.  Paul got a question from Phil to describe lunar ice, then SLS John called to agree with Paul’s SLS analysis and more.  Rick was our final emailer asking about the ASRG cancellation and what this means for deep space & long duration missions.  Paul’s concluding comments again supported the wealth & economic potential for cislunar development.

Please post comments/questions on TSS blog above.  You can contact Dr. Spudis through his website.

Dr. William Halal, Sunday, 1-5-14 January 6, 2014

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Dr. William Halal, Sunday, 1-5-14

http://archived.thespaceshow.com/shows/2157-BWB-2014-01-05.mp3

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Guest:  Dr. William (Bill) Halal.  Topics:  Space forecasting for the near and long term.  Please direct all comments and questions regarding Space Show programs/guest(s) to the Space Show blog, https://thespaceshow.wordpress.com.  Comments and questions should be relevant to the specific Space Show program. Written Transcripts of Space Show programs are a violation of our copyright and are not permitted without prior written consent, even if for your own use. We do not permit the commercial use of Space Show programs or any part thereof, nor do we permit editing, YouTube clips, or clips placed on other private channels & websites. Space Show programs can be quoted, but the quote must be cited or referenced using the proper citation format. Contact The Space Show for further information. In addition, please remember that your Amazon purchases can help support The Space Show/OGLF. See www.onegiantleapfoundation.org/amazon.htm.

We welcomed Dr. William Halal to our program for a 1 hour 48 minute discussion on predictions for both near and long term space development.  In our first segment, we focused on the near term predictions that mostly centered on continued growth of space commercialization and the emergence of space tourism.  Additional topics talked about in the first segment included the Chinese space program and its possible impact on the U.S. space program, heavy lift and SLS, the space media and its potential space tourism accident response, commercial activity on the ISS, and space entrepreneurism.  Dr. Halal also directed our attention to his website, www.techcast.org which will soon migrate to www.technicalglobal.com.  Listeners asked our guest about the biggest challenges facing both commercial space and space tourism, then our guest talked about big growth possibilities with solar satellites.  Issues were addressed regarding our congress, economics, and the tensions among all the players.

In the second segment, we talked about knowledge emerging as the powerful tool of the near to intermediate term.  Dr. Halal suggested tourism would be in place around 2015 and the commercial industry would keep developing to the 2020 range.  John called from Ft. Worth to draw comparisons to our early military and aviation history, suggesting the role of the government might be to continue developing hardware and infrastructure that would eventually enhance the commercial players much the way the military aircraft had dual use with the commercial industry.  John also had comments about asteroid missions which our guest brought up in this segment.  Dr. Halal mentioned the potential of interstellar travel around 2070 and the possibility of solar satellites coming on line much sooner.  We talked about going to Mars and the Moon and about Mars One and Inspiration Mars.  Doug was the next caller and he talked about depots and large rockets, specifically for missions BLEO and the Moon.  Doug brought up SpaceX heavy lift concepts, Martian terraforming, and SpaceX orbital human spaceflight around 2017.  As our program was ending, we talked about the rate of change going on in the world today and its impact on people in different age groups.  He said we all need to be prepared for a turbulent and transformative time as he does not believe current global systems are sustainable and will have to make way for new systems and programs.

Please post your comments/questions on The Space Show blog above.  You can contact our guest through me at drspace@thespaceshow.com or his website.

Frank White, Friday, 11-15-13 November 15, 2013

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Frank White, Friday, 11-15-13

http://archived.thespaceshow.com/shows/2122-BWB-2013-11-15.mp3

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Guest:  Frank White.  Topics:  The Overview Effect, the 50th anniversary of the assassination of President Kenney, JFK and Apollo.  Please direct all comments and questions regarding Space Show programs/guest(s) to the Space Show blog, https://thespaceshow.wordpress.com.  Comments and questions should be relevant to the specific Space Show program. Written Transcripts of Space Show programs are a violation of our copyright and are not permitted without prior written consent, even if for your own use. We do not permit the commercial use of Space Show programs or any part thereof, nor do we permit editing, YouTube clips, or clips placed on other private channels & websites. Space Show programs can be quoted, but the quote must be cited or referenced using the proper citation format. Contact The Space Show for further information. In addition, please remember that your Amazon purchases can help support The Space Show/OGLF. See www.onegiantleapfoundation.org/amazon.htm.

We welcomed back Frank White to discuss Overview Effect updates, President Kennedy and space given we are approaching the 50th anniversary of his death, and the impact of The Overview Effect on space policy.  During the first segment of this 1 hour 31 minute program, our guest spoke about the new movie Gravity and how it relates to The Overview Effect.  Frank provided us with a comprehensive overview of this movie which had both good and bad elements in it.  He also talked about many of the film’s reviews, even three reviews that focused on the film missing the boat re The Overview Effect.  Frank applauded the film for conveying the concept that Earth was a fragile oasis, even a lifeboat of types but that Earth was not depicted in the film with imagery to portray an overview like effect with our home planet.  Frank also talked about the characterization of the Sandra Bulloch character as typical Hollywood stereotyping.  Frank mentioned the Overview Effect film on Vimeo – http://vimeo.com/55073825.  He also talked about a YouTube film from their Harvard University presentation – www.youtube.com/watch?v=0X_fhLIPydE.  Near the end of the first segment, Frank was asked about having interviewed suborbital tourists and others from the suborbital industry or if he focuses only on orbital space.

In our second segment, with the 50th anniversary of the assassination of JFK coming up, Frank talked about his recent book, The New Camelot to show the relationship of Camelot and King Arthur to JFK and space.  In our discussion, Frank detailed the connection he made to understand and then explain these relationships.  Later in the segment, a listener asked if Mr. White knew of any leaders of any nation that applied Overview Effect leadership anyplace in the world.  The answer was no but we talked about ides for virtual political leadership space summits and even an Overview Effect training program for would be federal election candidates.   Near the end of the program, Joe in Billings, MT mentioned the fact that at the Rocky Mtn College astronaut panels I chaired earlier this year in Billings, the three astronauts were not familiar with The Overview Effect and said they did not experience it.  Frank had much to say about this response and some of his interviews, especially around the use of the word spiritual.  In his concluding comments, Frank urged us to never give up on our ideas or getting them transmitted through society.

If you have comments/questions for Frank White, please post them on The Space Show blog above.  You can email Frank through me at drspace@thespaceshow.com.

 

Open Lines, Sunday, 10-7-12 October 7, 2012

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Open Lines, Sunday, 10-7-12

http://archived.thespaceshow.com/shows/1867-BWB-2012-10-07.mp3

Guest:  Dr. David Livingston.   Topics:  Open Lines discussion on various space topics per the choice of the listeners calling today’s show.  You are invited to comment, ask questions, and discuss the Space Show program/guest(s) on the Space Show blog, https://thespaceshow.wordpress.com. Comments, questions, and any discussion must be relevant and applicable to Space Show programming. Transcripts of Space Show programs are not permitted without prior written consent from The Space Show (even if for personal use) & are a violation of the Space Show copyright. Welcome to today’s two hour 15 minute Open Lines discussion.  The program was in three segments but as we focused on just a few topics for the entire discussion, this summary will not be divided by segments.  I started the discussion by describing upcoming Space Show programs, then putting out a few discussion topics.  As it turned out, the dominant topic discussed by the listeners had to do with astronaut safety and the recent program with guest Rand Simberg from Monday, Oct. 1, 2012. Rand talked about our being too risk averse, the need for more lives to be at risk to do valuable space missions, etc. You can hear his program at http://archived.thespaceshow.com/shows/1863-BWB-2012-10-01.mp3. Several callers took issue with much of what Rand said and for the most part thought that space missions were valued and that human spaceflight was already risky.  Listeners went back and forth on this topic across all segments of the program, talking about shuttle accident rates, proposed accident rates for Constellation, Orion, Dragon, and more.  Some listeners even talked about aviation safety rates, military jets, and the track records of the Atlas 5, Delta IV, and Arianne V rockets.  For part of this discussion, we also talked about the liability limitation laws passed in spaceport states including California which recently signed into law its version of law. We talked about what this might mean for the industry, for spaceflight participants, and even if the would hold up in an accident.

As part of the HSF safety discussions, we also talked about launch abort and escape systems.  We took a call at the first of the second segment from Charles in Oregon who  wanted to talk about the lunar space elevator, SLS and propellant depots, our second most talked about topic for the day.  Charles is a strong proponent of the lunar space elevator and depots, but others called in from the skeptical side of things which was my position.  At times the discussion switched to the space elevator here on Earth but everybody agreed that the lunar space elevator was much more doable. I kept challenging Charles and proponents of this and the depots to show me the complete and thorough financial analysis and trades for these missions with assumptions as that would be the only way to know if these concepts had legs to stand on.  If Charles does get me some of this documentation and its viable, I will use it in a future Space Show program.  Tim in Huntsville wanted to know my thoughts on various alternative launch systems & my preferences for which type of space missions.  There were other topics scattered throughout our program including the 23 mile skydive by Felix Baumgartner with Red Bull scheduled for Oct. 8th, fusion propulsion, and the SpaceX launch going to the ISS later today.

     If you want to email any of the callers to this program, send your note to me and I will forward it for you.  Please post your comments/questions on The Space Show blog URL above.