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Paul Szymanski, Monday, 2-9-15 February 10, 2015

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Paul Szymanski, Monday, 2-9-15


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Guest:  Paul Szymanski.  Topics: Military space, space warfare.  Please direct all comments and questions regarding Space Show programs/guest(s) to the Space Show blog, https://thespaceshow.wordpress.com.  Comments and questions should be relevant to the specific Space Show program. Written Transcripts of Space Show programs are a violation of our copyright and are not permitted without prior written consent, even if for your own use. We do not permit the commercial use of Space Show programs or any part thereof, nor do we permit editing, YouTube clips, or clips placed on other private channels & websites. Space Show programs can be quoted, but the quote must be cited or referenced using the proper citation format. Contact The Space Show for further information. In addition, please remember that your Amazon purchases can help support The Space Show/OGLF. See http://www.onegiantleapfoundation.org/amazon.htm.  For those listening to archives using live365.com and rating the programs, please email me as to why you assign a specific rating to the show. This will help me bring better programming to the audience.

We welcomed Paul Szymanski to the show to discuss military space, space warfare, cyber issues and more.  In the first segment of our 1 hour 58 minute discussion, Paul introduced us to the topic and told us how he got his interest in the field. We also talked about military space matters in history and how they impact what is happening in space development today, including commercial space.  He talked about the attitude he saw with the Air Force as well as other parts of the government and mentioned that some of our military space data and information goes over commercial satellites and systems.  He explained why this made such systems legitimate military targets and he talked about the risks associated with carrying military data.  He went over historical incidents regarding satellite kills, disruptions, & tests.  He also spoke to U.S. laser weapon work, our ASAT weapons including the F15 efforts, the role of DARPA, and more.  Paul took many listener emails.  They ranged from weapons and war plans for the Moon and Mars to army programs for troops in space or using space to get to a battlefield destination.  He also spoke to the issue of  space to Earth weapons,.  BJohn inquired about Iran and Paul took several questions about U.S. readiness. On this subject, our guest had much to say. He spoke about other countries including China and Russia, but did address the situation in the Ukraine and at one point in our discussion, suggested there had already been a space war regarding the Ukraine.

In the second segment, Paul fielded additional questions on space junk and this time he talked about hiding weapons in space junk that were really ASAT weapons. A listener wanted to know about the cislunar trade routes and while Paul said that was off in the future, the more current focus would be GEO and LEO.  At one point the GEO-Moon area was referred to as a possible battle ground.  Another listener wanted to know about choke points. He referred us to papers on his website, http://spacecontrol.info.  He said GEO was a chokepoint and so were the GPS satellites.  A listener wanted to know about a possible larger role for the Army and Paul agreed that the Army should have a larger role in space warfare issues.  Don’t miss his explanation.  In response to a question by Gabriel, he talked about the 1970s and CSAT, booster failures in the 80s, and the current Ukraine-Crimea crisis.  While some of the reports he mentioned were regarded as rumors, he did do some dot connecting with regards to the Ukraine and the Russian Glonass GPS disruption plus Proton launch failures.  He explained how he connected the dots.  Tell us what you think on the blog.  Cyberwarfare  was discussed as was the effectiveness of a missile defense system.  Later, we talked about space war rules per his July 22, 2013 presentation, “Space Policy Issues:  Top 40 Rules for Space War.”  Near the end of our discussion, we talked about situational awareness , how to prevent defeat, space war game training, responsive space and more.

Please post your comments on TSS blog. You can reach Paul Szymanski through me or his website.


Dr. Nader Elhefnawy, Friday, 6-8-12 June 8, 2012

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Dr. Nader Elhefnawy, Friday, 6-8-12


Guest:  Dr. Nader Elhefnawy.  Topics:  Space warfare reality and hype.  You are invited to comment, ask questions, and discuss the Space Show program/guest(s) on the Space Show blog, https://thespaceshow.wordpress.com. Comments, questions, and any discussion must be relevant and applicable to Space Show programming. Transcripts of Space Show programs are not permitted without prior written consent from The Space Show (even if for personal use) & are a violation of the Space Show copyright. We welcomed Dr. Nader Elhefnawy back to the program to discuss his March 26, 2012 Space Review article, “Why we fall for the hype: contextualizing our thought on space warfare (www.thespacereview.com/article/2052/1).”  This was about a two hour program with a break after the first hour.  Dr. Elhefnawy also has two blogs which may interest you: http://naderelhefnawy.blogspot.com and http://raritania.blogspot.com.  We started our discussion by talking about Dr. Elhefnawy’s interest in the subject, his previous Space Review articles on the subject, and the issue of making accurate predictions.  Nader suggested that there is much hype driving the technology predictions suggesting a possible space warfare outcome that also drive political policy in some instances.  He talked about how technology development in the 19th century had more impact in changing the world than modern era technology.  Our guest cited examples of this throughout our discussion but one example we talked about more so than others dealt with the development of the telegraph.  Dr. Elhefnawy suggested that most of the hyped space weapons systems are not doable in the first place.  Another document he cited about this issue was the Joint Vision 2020 report (www.fs.fed.us/fire/doctrine/genesis_and_evolution/source_materials/joint_vision_2020.pdf).  Nader talked about space weapon systems vulnerabilities and again said that the expectations and hype do not match reality.  Several callers engaged with Nader on cause and reaction, SDI, missile defense, anti-satellite warfare, and the pre-positioning of weapons platforms in space.

In our second segment, I asked our guest how we in the public can best defend ourselves against hype, rhetoric, political agendas, and more given we do not have the expertise to always be able to pick up on the excessive claims and fears.  As you will hear, we remain vulnerable to excessive hype not just on technology and space but on a wide range of things impacting our national and international policy.  In this segment we did talk about technology being developed by China, inquiring if Nader thought this was all hype too.  Nader cited some operational stats to drive home some of his points.  Other issues and game changing technologies that came up in this segment included drones and the launch cost for space access. Nader also talked about the Eureka Paradigm and then he received a question from caller Mike about the European Code of Conduct that we have discussed many times on the show.  Near the end, an interesting comparison was made with aerial warfare from 1914-1918.  In just 7-11 years, aviation had advanced to fighting in the skies in WW1.  More than fifty years after Sputnik, the point was made we are not even at the 1914 equivalent level for space warfare, thus supporting Dr. Elhefnawy’s premise that we fall for the hype in this matter.

Please post your questions/comments on The Space Show blog.  If you want to email our guest, please do so through me and I will forward your note to him.